Tag Archive: Emirates – EK – UAE


The fight for Africa

Hundreds of years ago, the powers of the world fought over Africa and carved its landmass into many pieces which they proceeded to profit from for long stretches of time. Today, a similar fight is on the cards, only this time the would be conquerors are airlines fighting for the skies.

Needless to say the existence of many routes operating in and out of Africa are steeped in historical ties – Air France for instance is very strong in West Africa. However, such historical ties are only a small factor in the broader picture. The formation of global airline alliances, armed conflicts, the discovery of natural resources and a host of other factors make the picture far more complex.

If we compare the footprints of the alliances side-by-side we can see that the Star Alliance has the broadest reach. Notice in particular how the major centers that dot the coast of the continent are well served.

Star Alliance Footprint

Not far behind the Star Alliance is SkyTeam. Air France and KLM’s long history in Africa coupled with Kenya Airways’ growth and success are the major factors behind this second place.

SkyTeam Footprint

This leaves OneWorld in third but not by much.

OneWorld Footprint

Let’s not ignore non-alliance players. The collective presence Emirates, Qatar Airways and Etihad put forward is no longer negligible. You might argue that the gulf trio only affords three non-stop destinations outside Africa – Dubai, Doha and Abu Dhabi – but I would argue that one-stops at the right price are just as good or better than direct services.

With Ethiopian set to join the Star Alliance shortly, the list of African carriers ready to be rolled into major alliances drops to zero – either for lack of quality or lack of size. A lack of carriers however does not mean a lack a opportunities. The difference now is that anyone who wants a piece of the action will have to really put some skin in the game, not simply agree to a codeshare. Brussels Airlines is already doing this by setting up an operation in Lubumbashi (to be called Korongo) but they will not be the last. Numerous European and Middle Eastern carriers have half an eye on such joint ventures as do the new darlings of African politicians - the Chinese and the Indians.

Like anything else of an aesthetic slant, the like and dislike of tail designs is largely subjective. I have compiled the following list of tails as my current top ten with a few accompanying words. They are in no particular order.

Air Tahiti Nui – A flower floating in water; hardly a conventional idea for a tail and yet it works. Beautifully. The ripples in the lagoon blue whisper tranquility and beauty. What better representative could their be of a country that bills itself as paradise on earth?

Etihad - Some would say that this tail is far too masculine and imposing – that it’s almost military in appearance. I think it’s super. It’s certainly not conventional. Nor is it a tail you forget quickly. Etihad has used this design since its inception (albeit with the small change of adding seven stars to represent the seven emirates of the UAE) let’s hope nobody talks them into changing it.

Qantas - The Kangaroo may have gained and lost a few kilograms over the years but fundamentally this tail has remained unchanged for a very long time, and with good reason. It’s striking, simple and quintessentially Australian.

There was chatter that QF were going to paint a few tails with the silhouette of other Aussie animals such as the wallaby. That appears to have been nothing more than a rumor.

Egyptair – After many years of that awful bland blue-with-chicken-scratch tail the folks at Egypt Air have pulled up their socks and made a change. The new tail is a winner. All of their new metal is coming online with this new tail. The concentric waves of blue are simply mesmeric!

Gulf Air – Even before it’s rebirth, Gulf Air had a striking tail. Of course, as the various emirs got into a “mine’s bigger than yours” competition leaving Bahrain in the lurch it didn’t really make sense to preserve the red, black and green runners… since Bahrain’s flag sports none of those colors.

The new design (tail and livery) is great. So great in fact that it has been knocked of twice (that I know of) and has set off a wave of imitators. Sure the idea of a bird-only tail is hardly unique but this look easily has the edge over the likes of Singapore Airlines, Garuda Indonesia, Aerolineas Argentinas et al.

Emirates - Long before the billowing sail-inspired Burj al Arab Hotel graced Dubai’s skyline, the billowing flag graced it’s planes. What’s so clever and pleasing about this design is that it does not bastardize the real flag at all, it simply projects it onto the tail.

As far as I can tell the only change between this design and the original is that it’s is ever so slightly less angular.

American Airlines – Simple, timeless, clean, almost arrogant but in a friendly way this tail forces you (well me at least) to look at it. No matter what your allegiance may be this tail is a winner.

Thai - There’s something majestic about this tail’s almost opulent use of powerful colors. Then again I suppose for a carrier that still refers to itself as the “royal orchid service” that opulence should come as no surprise. This new tail was so powerful when it was first rolled out that it had what I call the BMW effect – as soon as you see a new one next to an old one the old one looks like crap, even though it isn’t.

Now if Thai could only bring that external feel to their interiors that would be great; I flew London-Bangkok last year with no on-demand IFE. Less than regal don’t you think?

While I’m on the subject of tails, if anyone knows what that thing Sri Lankan uses on its tails is I would love to know. At least the old bird was intelligible. That new thing is simply awful. Is it a jalapeno?

Emirates A380 coming into YYZ by BriYYZ on Flickr

Let’s be honest 58 A380s was never going to be enough for Dubai’s ambitions. In case you think I’m being sarcastic, I’m not. Once you get over the shock of such a massive order and start to think about it, 58 is not that many. Currently the ten strong A380 fleet serves London (LHR x2 daily), Paris (CDG), Bangkok, Toronto (x3 weekly), Sydney, Auckland (via SYD), Incheon as well as doing some intra-gulf flying mainly to Jeddah. Assuming that the current complement is well utilized that would leave (only!) 48 frames. Placing these 48 across EK’s currently served destinations will not be that difficult. Many of these destinations already enjoy multiple daily frequencies from DXB. Examining that list would be a good starting point.

Cape Town, Dhaka, Düsseldorf, Frankfurt, Gatwick, Hong Kong, Johannesburg, Karachi, Kuala Lumpur, Male, Manchester, Manila, Mauritius, Melbourne, Moscow, Singapore and Shanghai are all strong candidates to become A380 destinations. Whether all of these spots are A380-ready and whether the authorities/treaties that govern these airports will just take this lying down remains to be seen but EK’s intentions should be clear. At this point it’s just a case of guessing in what order these will come online. Add the additional 32 frames into the mix and only then will you start to struggle to find routes for EK to put them on, but even then not really. At the current dismal delivery rate natural fleet renewal will mean that older 77W frames will be finding new homes and being replaced by A380s.

Beyond the additional 32 A380s the rumored/sort-of-announced intention to order more frames at Farnborough makes things interesting. In all likelihood it will be a modest (by EK standards) 777 renewal order (yes even they acknowledge not every city on earth can support a daily A380) and/or an additional 10 A380s to bring the fleet count there to 100. Say what you will about EK they understand PR!

This “better to have it and not need it” philosophy will work for EK. After all any spares can find homes with EK’s cousin organization DAE and even Senegal Airlines (aka Sri Lankan: the sequel) could probably take one or two for flights to Paris and Marseille in a pinch. Perhaps most importantly by jamming up the order books at Toulouse. EK’s competitors will not be able to get a meaningful A380 fleet put together any time soon.

To me EK’s biggest problem is not going to be finding places to fly the A380, it’s going to be getting foreign governments to yield to their will. I have no doubt that some governments will force addendums to existing bilaterals – replacing frequencies with seat capacities – or at the very least refuse to change existing agreements. If that happens things will get very messy indeed. The UAE-India bilateral is already restricted in this way but more countries will follow suit. Already in battles of attrition with Australia, Canada, Germany and India, Emirates might have to hire as many PR and lobbyist hands as they do pilots to get all those A380s in the air.

An Emirates A380 seconds away from touching down at YYZ – photo by Rafal Kiermacz

Last year I blogged about Emirates’ displeasure at not being given unlimited access to the Canadian market. In the time that has passed their stance has not changed. They remain adamant that they are being treated unfairly and that there are adequate reasons for Transport Canada to comply with their requests demands for greater access.

In an attempt to strengthen their case Emirates commissioned a study to detail the economic impact of further flights between the Canadian market and Dubai. That study was released earlier this week by InterVISTAS Consulting who curiously do not list Emirates amongst their airline clients.

Before getting to the content of the study it is important to understand that there is a fundamental disconnect here. View Full Article »

Qatar Airways 77L A7-BBD at Boeing Field by Andrew W. Sieber

Qatar Airways 77L (A7-BBD) at Boeing Field by Andrew W. Sieber

Effective May 30th, 2010 Qatar Airways will begin service to South America offering a daily Doha – São Paulo – Buenos Aires service to be operated with a 77L. They will become only the third airline ever to offer non-stop service to six continents from a single hub. The current members of the Six Continent Club are South African Airways and Emirates who serve six continents from their Johannesburg and Dubai hubs respectively.

Qatar Airways is often accused of aping Emirates. In this instance I think they have one-upped them. Unlike their Gulf cousins QR’s service will continue on to EZE from GRU with full 5th freedom traffic rights. A smart move considering it tests the market for EZE-DOH direct (which the ridiculously capable 77L can handle) and maximizes utilization of the 77L fleet. Indications are that EK did not pursue the GRU-EZE leg as it would have meant a less desirable departure time. This type of paired expansion is not new to QR. When getting their feet wet in Africa they took a similar approach initially serving Cape Town via Johannesburg. After establishing themselves in those markets and proving demand existed both cities were upgraded. A certain Emirati carrier followed suit

This all begs the question, who will be the next member of this elite club? A number of other airlines already serve six continents but from different hubs and with stops. Off the top of my head British Airways, United, Malaysia Airlines and Air France are in the mix but for reasons of equipment, bilateral agreements and other complications I don’t believe any of these four will be the next. My pick is Etihad. The reasons are simple. They have a similar business model to EK and QR, they have capable aircraft on order and they have a strong desire to not be an also-ran in the arena of Gulf aviation. Time will tell.

Emirates fights for Canada

Emirates 777 at YUL. Photograph courtesy of Youri Thonon – Contrails Photography

Emirates 777 at YUL. Photograph courtesy of Youri Thonon – Contrails Photography

It must be ever so inconvenient for Emirates to have to deal with Transport Canada in trying to secure additional landing rights to Canadian airports. At its home base in Dubai most anything the carrier needs is quickly afforded to it by the government of Dubai, often by royal decree. The capacity the carrier currently enjoys between YYZ and DXB – 1467 seats per week in each direction – is more than adequate to serve the needs of passengers originating in the two cities. Though they would tell you otherwise, EK wants access to Canada to capture traffic that would connect via Dubai to its broader network. Of particular interest to EK is traffic destined for South Asia, East Africa and the Middle East.

The Canada-U.A.E. Air Transport Agreement allows Emirati carriers six flights a week into Canada. Instead of capitalizing on these frequencies at the time that agreement was signed, Emirates presumptuously opted to wait until daily landing rights were made available. Contemporaneously Emirates’ enterprising compatriots at Etihad launched a thrice weekly service between Abu Dhabi and Toronto, carving out their niche in the Canadian aviation landscape. If EK now find themselves locked out of the lucrative Toronto market with only half the capacity they seek, they really have only themselves to blame.

As many of you know EK does not take things lying down and this will be no exception. They are now applying pressure to get Transport Canada to see the(ir) light. On their own website they have a section detailing the importance of trade relations between Canada and the U.A.E. and also have a section stressing that AC will not be impacted by further EK frequencies. Hopefully some enterprising Canadian employee at EK will let Tim Clark know that the Government of Canada is known to drag its heels. Best look elsewhere in the interim Tim.

EK now world’s largest 777 operator

Emirates 777 at DME. Photograph by Konstantin Tyurpeko – RuSpotters Team

Emirates 777 at DME. Photograph by Konstantin Tyurpeko – RuSpotters Team

Today Emirates surpassed Singapore Airlines as the world’s largest Boeing 777 operator. A 78th 777 (A6-ECS) joined the fleet today. Number 78 is a 300ER variant. The breakdown of EK 777s is as follows:

Variant Fleet Size
777-200ER 6
777-200A 3
777-200F 2
777-200LR 10
777-300A 12
777-300ER 44

EK have a further 27 777-300ERs and 2 777-200Fs to be delivered. This would bring the 777 fleet size up to 107 frames. However, the arrival of additional lift in the form of A380s and new 777-300ERs likely means the 200 series variants are in the twilight of their Emirates careers. It is widely speculated that the 777 fleet will be capped at 97 frames.

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